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Found 74 Skills
Use to detect and remove cognitive biases from reasoning. Invoke when prediction feels emotional, stuck at 50/50, or when you want to validate forecasting process. Use when user mentions scout mindset, soldier mindset, bias check, reversal test, scope sensitivity, or cognitive distortions.
Apply exponential smoothing methods for time series forecasting with weighted moving averages. Use this skill when the user needs simple, robust forecasts, implement Holt-Winters for seasonal data, or build lightweight forecasting without complex models — even if they say 'simple forecast', 'moving average prediction', or 'smoothing method'.
ARIMA, SARIMA, Prophet, trend analysis, seasonality detection, anomaly detection, and forecasting methods. Use for time-based predictions, demand forecasting, or temporal pattern analysis.
Use when forecasting, estimating, or sizing risk — anchor on base rates, give ranges, update prior→likelihood→posterior on evidence, and factor unmeasured quantities into order-of-magnitude bounds.
Query FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) API for 800,000+ economic time series from 100+ sources. Access GDP, unemployment, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, housing, and regional data. Use for macroeconomic analysis, financial research, policy studies, economic forecasting, and academic research requiring U.S. and international economic indicators.
Monthly CFO workflow for a company or agency — pull raw data from bank + payment processor + payroll + expense management, categorize and reconcile, compute end-of-month cash via transaction-sum method, update a scenario projector for forward forecasting, write the monthly snapshot report, surface decisions to leadership. Modes — monthly (default; the standing report), weekly (thin cash pulse), scenario (ad-hoc modeling in the projector), pickup (resume where the prior run left off). Anonymized team-scope sibling to personal-cfo (which handles personal household finances). Composes with company-brain (report gets stored + wiki-indexed there), toolify (wire company-specific data sources), loopify (schedule the monthly + weekly runs). Triggers on "/company-cfo," "/cfo," "monthly cash report," "do the CFO snapshot," "CFO monthly," "let's run CFO," "cash projection," "runway forecast," "monthly financials," "cash pulse."
Plan and manage the finances of a solopreneur business. Use when creating budgets, forecasting revenue and expenses, building a P&L, planning for cash flow, setting financial targets, or preparing for financial decision-making. Covers budgeting frameworks, cash flow management, profit margins, expense tracking categories, and financial dashboards. Trigger on "financial plan", "budget my business", "cash flow planning", "P&L", "profit and loss", "financial projections", "how much do I need", "business finances", "financial forecast".
Grafana Cloud cost management — usage monitoring, cost attribution by label, usage alerts, invoice management, and optimization strategies. Covers Adaptive Metrics (cardinality reduction), Adaptive Logs (log filtering), cost attribution labels, and the FOCUS-compliant billing application. Use when analyzing Grafana Cloud spending, setting up cost alerts, attributing costs to teams, reducing metric/log cardinality, or forecasting observability budgets.
ChurnZero platform help — Health Scores, Plays & Automation, Journeys, Renewal Forecasting, In-App WalkThroughs, Surveys (NPS/CSAT/CES), AI Agents, REST API (OData v4). Use when health scores aren't predicting churn accurately, plays automation isn't triggering, Salesforce or HubSpot sync is broken, reporting dashboards feel inflexible, in-app WalkThroughs aren't reaching users, renewal forecasting numbers don't match CRM, or the ChurnZero API returns unexpected errors. Do NOT use for general customer success strategy (use /sales-customer-success) or NPS/CSAT survey methodology (use /sales-customer-feedback).
Analyzes events through futures lens using scenario planning, trend analysis, weak signals, drivers of change, and forecasting methods (exploratory, normative, backcasting). Provides insights on possible futures, emerging trends, disruptive forces, strategic foresight, and alternative scenarios. Use when: Strategic planning, emerging trends, technology assessment, long-term planning, uncertainty navigation. Evaluates: Trends, weak signals, drivers of change, plausible futures, strategic options, uncertainty ranges.
When the user wants to forecast using deep learning, LSTMs, transformers, or neural networks. Also use when the user mentions "neural network forecasting," "LSTM," "GRU," "transformer forecasting," "attention mechanisms," "seq2seq," "temporal convolution," "deep learning time series," or complex non-linear patterns. For traditional forecasting, see demand-forecasting. For general ML, see ml-supply-chain.
Comprehensive sales operations setup assistant that guides users through implementing lead management, forecasting, sales enablement, data analysis, process optimization, and team building based on proven sales operations frameworks and best practices.