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Found 99 Skills
Break any problem down to fundamental truths, then rebuild solutions from atoms up. Use when user says "firstp", "first principles", "from scratch", "what are we assuming", "break this down", "atomic", "fundamental truth", "physics thinking", "Elon method", "bedrock", "ground up", "core problem", "strip away", or challenges assumptions about how things are done.
Use when starting a forecast to establish a statistical baseline (base rate) before analyzing specifics. Invoke when need to anchor predictions in historical reality, avoid "this time is different" bias, or establish outside view before inside view analysis. Use when user mentions base rates, reference classes, outside view, or starting a new prediction.
"Invert, always invert." Apply Carl Jacobi's mathematical principle and Charlie Munger's investing wisdom to solve problems by thinking backward from failure. Use when: **Goal setting** - Define what would guarantee failure, then avoid it; **Risk analysis** - Identify what could destroy your project before starting; **Decision making** - Evaluate choices by examining their worst outcomes; **Problem solving** - When direct approaches aren't working, reverse the question; **Strategy development...