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Activate this when users need to understand extreme events (bubbles, crashes, mass hysteria, cults, mob behavior), diagnose systemic organizational failures, or assess the risk of multiple psychological/market/institutional forces aligning in the same direction. Typical trigger signals: the phenomenon described by the user "far exceeds what any single factor can explain"; the user attempts to explain an extreme outcome with a single cause; the user is concerned about "multiple adverse factors erupting simultaneously". Not applicable to conventional single-factor decision analysis or assessment of mild incremental changes.