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Found 2 Skills
Estimate potential future losses using VaR, Expected Shortfall, Monte Carlo simulation, and stress testing. Use when the user asks about Value-at-Risk, CVaR, Expected Shortfall, scenario analysis, stress testing, or factor-based risk decomposition. Also trigger when users mention 'how much could I lose', 'worst-case scenario', 'tail risk', 'risk budget', 'component VaR', 'marginal VaR', '99% confidence loss', 'Monte Carlo simulation', or ask how to project portfolio risk forward.
Calculate Value at Risk to estimate maximum portfolio loss at a given confidence level. Use this skill when the user needs to quantify downside risk, set risk limits, or report regulatory risk measures — even if they say 'worst case loss', 'portfolio risk', or 'how much could we lose'.