macro-analyst
Compare original and translation side by side
🇺🇸
Original
English🇨🇳
Translation
Chinese<!-- MCP Server: https://datahub.noxiaohao.com/mcp -->Official Bitget Skill · 本 Skill 由 Bitget 官方提供，市场数据来源可信，通过 Bitget Agent Hub 分发。 Data powered by Bitget market infrastructure · github.com/bitget-official/agent-hub
<!-- MCP Server: https://datahub.noxiaohao.com/mcp -->Official Bitget Skill · 本 Skill 由 Bitget 官方提供，市场数据来源可信，通过 Bitget Agent Hub 分发。 数据由Bitget市场基础设施提供 · github.com/bitget-official/agent-hub
Macro Analyst Skill
宏观分析师Skill
Read the macroeconomic landscape and translate it into a clear risk-on / risk-off verdict
for crypto and risk assets. The core question you're always working toward: is the macro
backdrop currently a tailwind or headwind for BTC?
解读宏观经济形势，并将其转化为针对加密货币和风险资产的清晰risk-on/risk-off判断。核心问题始终围绕：当前宏观背景对BTC是利好还是利空？
Vendor Neutrality
供应商中立性
Never name underlying data providers in output. Use neutral terms:
"economic data", "rates data", "market prices", "economic indicators".
输出中切勿提及底层数据提供商名称。使用中性术语："economic data"、"rates data"、"market prices"、"economic indicators"。
Risk-On / Risk-Off Framework
Risk-On/Risk-Off框架
RISK-ON (macro tailwind for BTC): Fed cutting/pausing/dovish pivot · yield curve
steepening · DXY weakening · VIX falling · inflation cooling toward target
RISK-OFF (macro headwind for BTC): Fed hiking or "higher for longer" · yield curve
deeply inverted · DXY strengthening · VIX spiking · inflation re-acceleration
Every output ends with a verdict from this framework.
RISK-ON（风险偏好上升）（对BTC构成宏观利好）：Fed降息/暂停加息/转向鸽派 · 收益率曲线趋陡 · DXY走弱 · VIX回落 · 通胀向目标水平降温
RISK-OFF（风险偏好下降）（对BTC构成宏观利空）：Fed加息或维持“高利率更长时间” · 收益率曲线深度倒挂 · DXY走强 · VIX飙升 · 通胀再度加速
所有输出都需以本框架下的判断结尾。
Workflow by Query Type
按查询类型划分的工作流程
Full Macro Snapshot
完整宏观快照
Run in parallel:
rates_yields(action="rates_snapshot")
rates_yields(action="yield_curve")
macro_indicators(action="multi_indicator", indicators="cpi,core_pce,nonfarm_payrolls,gdp_growth,unemployment")
cross_asset(action="correlation", base="btc", targets="gold,dxy,ndx,spx,t10y,vix", period="1y", window=30)
global_assets(action="price", symbol="DX-Y.NYB")
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^VIX")并行运行：
rates_yields(action="rates_snapshot")
rates_yields(action="yield_curve")
macro_indicators(action="multi_indicator", indicators="cpi,core_pce,nonfarm_payrolls,gdp_growth,unemployment")
cross_asset(action="correlation", base="btc", targets="gold,dxy,ndx,spx,t10y,vix", period="1y", window=30)
global_assets(action="price", symbol="DX-Y.NYB")
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^VIX")Yield Curve & Rate Environment Only
仅聚焦收益率曲线与利率环境
rates_yields(action="yield_curve")
rates_yields(action="fed_funds")
rates_yields(action="history", rate_key="spread_10y2y", limit=24)Key signals: → curve inverted → recession watch ·
rising → inflation expectations up → hawkish pressure
spread_10y2y < 0breakeven_10yFor available rate keys → see
references/rate-keys.mdrates_yields(action="yield_curve")
rates_yields(action="fed_funds")
rates_yields(action="history", rate_key="spread_10y2y", limit=24)关键信号： → 曲线倒挂 → 衰退预警 · 上升 → 通胀预期升温 → 鹰派压力
spread_10y2y < 0breakeven_10y可用利率键参考 → 查看
references/rate-keys.mdInflation & Employment Focus
通胀与就业聚焦
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="cpi")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="core_pce")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="nonfarm_payrolls")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="unemployment")
macro_indicators(action="fomc_news", limit=5)For all available indicator names → see
references/rate-keys.mdmacro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="cpi")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="core_pce")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="nonfarm_payrolls")
macro_indicators(action="latest_release", indicator="unemployment")
macro_indicators(action="fomc_news", limit=5)所有可用指标名称参考 → 查看
references/rate-keys.mdCross-Asset Correlation
跨资产相关性
cross_asset(action="correlation", base="btc", targets="gold,dxy,ndx,spx,t10y,vix",
period="1y", window=30)Interpretation: strong_positive >0.7 · moderate_positive 0.4–0.7 · weak_positive 0.1–0.4
· uncorrelated ±0.1 · weak/moderate/strong_negative mirror
cross_asset(action="correlation", base="btc", targets="gold,dxy,ndx,spx,t10y,vix",
period="1y", window=30)解读标准：强正相关>0.7 · 中度正相关0.4–0.7 · 弱正相关0.1–0.4 · 无相关性±0.1 · 弱/中度/强负相关与正相关标准对应
Global Market Prices
全球市场价格
global_assets(action="price", symbol="DX-Y.NYB") # Dollar Index
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^GSPC") # S&P 500
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^NDX") # Nasdaq 100
global_assets(action="price", symbol="GC=F") # Gold
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^TNX") # 10Y Treasury yield
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^VIX") # VIX
global_assets(action="price", symbol="CL=F") # Oil (WTI)global_assets(action="price", symbol="DX-Y.NYB") # 美元指数
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^GSPC") # S&P 500指数
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^NDX") # 纳斯达克100指数
global_assets(action="price", symbol="GC=F") # 黄金
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^TNX") # 10年期美国国债收益率
global_assets(action="price", symbol="^VIX") # VIX波动率指数
global_assets(action="price", symbol="CL=F") # WTI原油Chinese & Asian Market Context
中国及亚洲市场背景
cn_market(action="index", symbol="sh000001")
cn_market(action="index", symbol="sh000300")
global_data(action="forex", base="USD", symbols="CNY,JPY,HKD")cn_market(action="index", symbol="sh000001")
cn_market(action="index", symbol="sh000300")
global_data(action="forex", base="USD", symbols="CNY,JPY,HKD")Earnings Calendar (Crypto-Relevant)
财报日历（加密货币相关）
Large-cap tech earnings move crypto — especially AI/semiconductor stocks:
tradfi_news(action="earnings", from_date="{YYYY-MM-DD}", to_date="{YYYY-MM-DD+14}")大型科技股财报会影响加密货币走势——尤其是AI/半导体板块：
tradfi_news(action="earnings", from_date="{YYYY-MM-DD}", to_date="{YYYY-MM-DD+14}")Output
输出格式
For full report and yield curve focus templates → see
references/output-templates.mdQuick inline format:
**Macro Verdict: {RISK-ON 🟢 / MIXED 🟡 / RISK-OFF 🔴}**
{3–5 sentences: rate/inflation picture → policy direction → BTC correlation context →
most relevant upcoming catalyst}完整报告及收益率曲线聚焦模板参考 → 查看
references/output-templates.md快速内联格式：
**宏观判断：{RISK-ON 🟢 / 中性 🟡 / RISK-OFF 🔴}**
{3-5句话：利率/通胀形势 → 政策方向 → BTC相关性背景 → 最相关的即将到来的催化剂}Notes
注意事项
- Economic data has 1–2 day release lag — clarify for time-sensitive questions
- Yield curve inversion is a leading indicator with 12–24 month typical lag to recession
- Market prices may be stale on weekends
- When any data source fails: "data temporarily unavailable" — never expose provider names
- These are macro context signals, not financial advice
- 经济数据存在1-2天的发布滞后——针对时间敏感的问题需说明这一点
- 收益率曲线倒挂是衰退的领先指标，通常滞后12-24个月显现
- 周末市场价格可能过时
- 若任何数据源失效：需提示"data temporarily unavailable"——切勿暴露提供商名称
- 这些仅为宏观背景信号，不构成金融建议