longbridge-earnings-revision
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Chineselongbridge-earnings-revision
longbridge-earnings-revision
Prompt-only analysis skill. Orchestrates Longbridge CLI commands to track analyst estimate revision direction, quantify earnings surprise, detect PEAD momentum signals, and analyse management guidance shifts.
Response language: match the user's input language — Simplified Chinese / Traditional Chinese / English.
仅基于提示词的分析技能。协调Longbridge CLI命令以追踪分析师预期修正方向、量化盈利超预期情况、检测PEAD动量信号,并分析管理层指引变化。
响应语言:匹配用户输入语言——简体中文/繁体中文/英文
When to use
适用场景
- "TSLA 预期修正方向", "TSLA estimate revision trend", "TSLA 預期修正方向"
- "NVDA 超预期幅度", "NVDA earnings surprise", "NVDA 超預期幅度"
- "AAPL PEAD 信号", "AAPL post-earnings drift signal"
- "700.HK 分析师上调了吗", "700.HK analyst upgrades"
- "苹果管理层指引变了吗", "AAPL management guidance revision"
For raw consensus snapshot (current estimates only) use . For valuation use .
longbridge-consensuslongbridge-valuation- "TSLA 预期修正方向", "TSLA estimate revision trend", "TSLA 預期修正方向"
- "NVDA 超预期幅度", "NVDA earnings surprise", "NVDA 超預期幅度"
- "AAPL PEAD 信号", "AAPL post-earnings drift signal"
- "700.HK 分析师上调了吗", "700.HK analyst upgrades"
- "苹果管理层指引变了吗", "AAPL management guidance revision"
如需原始共识快照(仅当前预期数据),请使用。如需估值分析,请使用。
longbridge-consensuslongbridge-valuationCLI
CLI使用说明
Run to verify exact flags. Call concurrently:
longbridge <subcommand> --helpbash
undefined运行以确认具体参数。可并行调用:
longbridge <subcommand> --helpbash
undefinedConsensus base — always run
共识基准数据——必须运行
longbridge consensus <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge consensus <SYMBOL> --format json
Forward EPS by period
分阶段预期EPS
longbridge forecast-eps <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge forecast-eps <SYMBOL> --format json
Rating distribution + target price change history (key for revision direction)
评级分布+目标价变动历史(修正方向关键数据)
longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --history --format json
longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --history --format json
If unsure about flags:
若不确定参数:
longbridge consensus --help
longbridge forecast-eps --help
longbridge institution-rating --help
undefinedlongbridge consensus --help
longbridge forecast-eps --help
longbridge institution-rating --help
undefinedWorkflow
工作流程
-
Resolve symbol toformat.
<CODE>.<MARKET> -
Determine scope from user prompt:
Prompt intent Commands to run Revision direction +consensusinstitution-rating --historyBeat / miss / surprise (actuals vs estimates)forecast-epsPEAD signal +forecast-epsinstitution-rating --historyGuidance revision impact +consensusinstitution-rating --history -
In-LLM analysis:
-
解析代码为格式。
<CODE>.<MARKET> -
根据用户提示确定分析范围:
提示意图 需运行的命令 修正方向 +consensusinstitution-rating --history超预期/未达预期/业绩意外 (实际值vs预期值)forecast-epsPEAD信号 +forecast-epsinstitution-rating --history指引修正影响 +consensusinstitution-rating --history -
LLM内分析:
Estimate revision direction
预期修正方向
Compare current consensus mean EPS vs prior period from :
institution-rating --history- Rising → upward revision (bullish signal)
- Flat → neutral
- Falling → downward revision (bearish signal)
Count: how many analysts revised up vs down over last 30 / 90 days.
对比中的当前共识平均EPS与往期数据:
institution-rating --history- 上升 → 上调修正(看涨信号)
- 持平 → 中性
- 下降 → 下调修正(看跌信号)
统计:过去30/90天内上调与下调的分析师数量。
Earnings surprise (SUE)
盈利超预期(SUE)
SUE = (Actual EPS − Consensus estimate) / Standard deviation of estimates
| SUE range | Label |
|---|---|
| > +2 | Strong beat |
| +1 to +2 | Beat |
| -1 to +1 | In-line |
| -2 to -1 | Miss |
| < -2 | Strong miss |
SUE = (实际EPS − 共识预期EPS) / 预期值标准差
| SUE区间 | 标签 |
|---|---|
| > +2 | 大幅超预期 |
| +1 至 +2 | 超预期 |
| -1 至 +1 | 符合预期 |
| -2 至 -1 | 未达预期 |
| < -2 | 大幅未达预期 |
PEAD signal
PEAD信号
Consecutive beats (≥ 2) + upward revisions → positive momentum signal.
Consecutive misses (≥ 2) + downward revisions → negative momentum signal.
Note: PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a guarantee of future returns.
连续超预期(≥2次)+上调修正 → 正向动量信号。
连续未达预期(≥2次)+下调修正 → 负向动量信号。
注意:PEAD是统计趋势,不代表未来收益的保证。
Guidance revision
指引修正
Identify if most-recent management guidance is above / below / in-line with prior consensus; assess subsequent revision direction as confirmation or pushback.
- Output structured analysis; cite Longbridge Securities; end with disclaimer.
判断最新管理层指引是否高于/符合/低于此前共识;评估后续修正方向以确认或反馈。
- 输出结构化分析结果;注明数据来源为Longbridge Securities;结尾添加免责声明。
Output
输出格式
{Symbol} Earnings Revision Analysis — Source: Longbridge Securities
As of: {date}
[Estimate revision direction (past 30 / 90 days)]
- EPS revision: {Rising / Flat / Falling}
- Upgrades: {N} analysts | Downgrades: {N} analysts
- Net revision bias: {Positive / Neutral / Negative}
[Earnings surprise history (last 4 quarters)]
Quarter | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise % | SUE
{Q4} | {A} | {E} | {±X%} | {val}
{Q3} | ...
{Q2} | ...
{Q1} | ...
[PEAD signal]
- Pattern: {N consecutive beats / misses / mixed}
- Revision bias: {upward / neutral / downward}
- PEAD inference: {Positive momentum / Neutral / Negative momentum}
⚠️ PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a forecast.
[Guidance revision]
- Latest management guidance vs prior consensus: {Above / In-line / Below}
- Analyst response: {Upgraded / Unchanged / Downgraded}
⚠️ 以上分析仅供参考,不构成投资建议。/ 以上分析僅供參考,不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice.{Symbol} Earnings Revision Analysis — Source: Longbridge Securities
As of: {date}
[Estimate revision direction (past 30 / 90 days)]
- EPS revision: {Rising / Flat / Falling}
- Upgrades: {N} analysts | Downgrades: {N} analysts
- Net revision bias: {Positive / Neutral / Negative}
[Earnings surprise history (last 4 quarters)]
Quarter | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise % | SUE
{Q4} | {A} | {E} | {±X%} | {val}
{Q3} | ...
{Q2} | ...
{Q1} | ...
[PEAD signal]
- Pattern: {N consecutive beats / misses / mixed}
- Revision bias: {upward / neutral / downward}
- PEAD inference: {Positive momentum / Neutral / Negative momentum}
⚠️ PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a forecast.
[Guidance revision]
- Latest management guidance vs prior consensus: {Above / In-line / Below}
- Analyst response: {Upgraded / Unchanged / Downgraded}
⚠️ 以上分析仅供参考,不构成投资建议。/ 以上分析僅供參考,不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice.Error handling
错误处理
| Situation | 简体中文回复 | 繁體中文 / English |
|---|---|---|
| 回退到 MCP;如 MCP 也不可用,请安装 longbridge-terminal。 | 回退到 MCP;如也不可用,請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, install longbridge-terminal. |
stderr | 请运行 | 請執行 |
| 覆盖分析师不足 3 位,修正分析仅供参考。 | 覆蓋分析師不足 3 位,修正分析僅供參考。/ Fewer than 3 analysts — revision analysis indicative only. |
| No actuals for beat/miss | 跳过超预期分析,注明无历史实际值。 | 跳過超預期分析,注明無歷史數據。/ Skip beat/miss; note no historical actuals. |
| Other stderr | 直接显示原始错误,不静默重试。 | 顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently. |
| 场景 | 简体中文回复 | 繁体中文 / English |
|---|---|---|
| 回退到 MCP;如 MCP 也不可用,请安装 longbridge-terminal。 | 回退到 MCP;如也不可用,請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, install longbridge-terminal. |
stderr | 请运行 | 請執行 |
| 覆盖分析师不足 3 位,修正分析仅供参考。 | 覆蓋分析師不足 3 位,修正分析僅供參考。/ Fewer than 3 analysts — revision analysis indicative only. |
| No actuals for beat/miss | 跳过超预期分析,注明无历史实际值。 | 跳過超預期分析,注明無歷史數據。/ Skip beat/miss; note no historical actuals. |
| Other stderr | 直接显示原始错误,不静默重试。 | 顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently. |
MCP fallback
MCP备选方案
If CLI is not installed, use MCP tools:
longbridge| MCP tool | CLI equivalent |
|---|---|
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| |
MCP setup: ( scope).
claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcpquote若未安装 CLI,可使用MCP工具:
longbridge| MCP工具 | CLI等效命令 |
|---|---|
| |
| |
| |
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MCP配置:(需权限)。
claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcpquoteRelated skills
相关技能
- Raw consensus snapshot →
longbridge-consensus - Post-earnings deep-dive →
longbridge-earnings - Pre-earnings preview →
longbridge-earnings-preview - Full fundamentals →
longbridge-fundamental - Valuation →
longbridge-valuation
- 原始共识快照 →
longbridge-consensus - 财报后深度分析 →
longbridge-earnings - 财报前预览 →
longbridge-earnings-preview - 完整基本面分析 →
longbridge-fundamental - 估值分析 →
longbridge-valuation
File layout
文件结构
longbridge-earnings-revision/
└── SKILL.md # prompt-only, no scripts/longbridge-earnings-revision/
└── SKILL.md # prompt-only, no scripts/