longbridge-earnings-revision

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Original

English
🇨🇳

Translation

Chinese

longbridge-earnings-revision

longbridge-earnings-revision

Prompt-only analysis skill. Orchestrates Longbridge CLI commands to track analyst estimate revision direction, quantify earnings surprise, detect PEAD momentum signals, and analyse management guidance shifts.
Response language: match the user's input language — Simplified Chinese / Traditional Chinese / English.
仅基于提示词的分析技能。协调Longbridge CLI命令以追踪分析师预期修正方向、量化盈利超预期情况、检测PEAD动量信号,并分析管理层指引变化。
响应语言:匹配用户输入语言——简体中文/繁体中文/英文

When to use

适用场景

  • "TSLA 预期修正方向", "TSLA estimate revision trend", "TSLA 預期修正方向"
  • "NVDA 超预期幅度", "NVDA earnings surprise", "NVDA 超預期幅度"
  • "AAPL PEAD 信号", "AAPL post-earnings drift signal"
  • "700.HK 分析师上调了吗", "700.HK analyst upgrades"
  • "苹果管理层指引变了吗", "AAPL management guidance revision"
For raw consensus snapshot (current estimates only) use
longbridge-consensus
. For valuation use
longbridge-valuation
.
  • "TSLA 预期修正方向", "TSLA estimate revision trend", "TSLA 預期修正方向"
  • "NVDA 超预期幅度", "NVDA earnings surprise", "NVDA 超預期幅度"
  • "AAPL PEAD 信号", "AAPL post-earnings drift signal"
  • "700.HK 分析师上调了吗", "700.HK analyst upgrades"
  • "苹果管理层指引变了吗", "AAPL management guidance revision"
如需原始共识快照(仅当前预期数据),请使用
longbridge-consensus
。如需估值分析,请使用
longbridge-valuation

CLI

CLI使用说明

Run
longbridge <subcommand> --help
to verify exact flags. Call concurrently:
bash
undefined
运行
longbridge <subcommand> --help
以确认具体参数。可并行调用:
bash
undefined

Consensus base — always run

共识基准数据——必须运行

longbridge consensus <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge consensus <SYMBOL> --format json

Forward EPS by period

分阶段预期EPS

longbridge forecast-eps <SYMBOL> --format json
longbridge forecast-eps <SYMBOL> --format json

Rating distribution + target price change history (key for revision direction)

评级分布+目标价变动历史(修正方向关键数据)

longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --format json longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --history --format json
longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --format json longbridge institution-rating <SYMBOL> --history --format json

If unsure about flags:

若不确定参数:

longbridge consensus --help longbridge forecast-eps --help longbridge institution-rating --help
undefined
longbridge consensus --help longbridge forecast-eps --help longbridge institution-rating --help
undefined

Workflow

工作流程

  1. Resolve symbol to
    <CODE>.<MARKET>
    format.
  2. Determine scope from user prompt:
    Prompt intentCommands to run
    Revision direction
    consensus
    +
    institution-rating --history
    Beat / miss / surprise
    forecast-eps
    (actuals vs estimates)
    PEAD signal
    forecast-eps
    +
    institution-rating --history
    Guidance revision impact
    consensus
    +
    institution-rating --history
  3. In-LLM analysis:
  1. 解析代码
    <CODE>.<MARKET>
    格式。
  2. 根据用户提示确定分析范围
    提示意图需运行的命令
    修正方向
    consensus
    +
    institution-rating --history
    超预期/未达预期/业绩意外
    forecast-eps
    (实际值vs预期值)
    PEAD信号
    forecast-eps
    +
    institution-rating --history
    指引修正影响
    consensus
    +
    institution-rating --history
  3. LLM内分析

Estimate revision direction

预期修正方向

Compare current consensus mean EPS vs prior period from
institution-rating --history
:
  • Rising → upward revision (bullish signal)
  • Flat → neutral
  • Falling → downward revision (bearish signal)
Count: how many analysts revised up vs down over last 30 / 90 days.
对比
institution-rating --history
中的当前共识平均EPS与往期数据:
  • 上升 → 上调修正(看涨信号)
  • 持平 → 中性
  • 下降 → 下调修正(看跌信号)
统计:过去30/90天内上调与下调的分析师数量。

Earnings surprise (SUE)

盈利超预期(SUE)

SUE = (Actual EPS − Consensus estimate) / Standard deviation of estimates
SUE rangeLabel
> +2Strong beat
+1 to +2Beat
-1 to +1In-line
-2 to -1Miss
< -2Strong miss
SUE = (实际EPS − 共识预期EPS) / 预期值标准差
SUE区间标签
> +2大幅超预期
+1 至 +2超预期
-1 至 +1符合预期
-2 至 -1未达预期
< -2大幅未达预期

PEAD signal

PEAD信号

Consecutive beats (≥ 2) + upward revisions → positive momentum signal. Consecutive misses (≥ 2) + downward revisions → negative momentum signal. Note: PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a guarantee of future returns.
连续超预期(≥2次)+上调修正 → 正向动量信号。 连续未达预期(≥2次)+下调修正 → 负向动量信号。 注意:PEAD是统计趋势,不代表未来收益的保证。

Guidance revision

指引修正

Identify if most-recent management guidance is above / below / in-line with prior consensus; assess subsequent revision direction as confirmation or pushback.
  1. Output structured analysis; cite Longbridge Securities; end with disclaimer.
判断最新管理层指引是否高于/符合/低于此前共识;评估后续修正方向以确认或反馈。
  1. 输出结构化分析结果;注明数据来源为Longbridge Securities;结尾添加免责声明。

Output

输出格式

{Symbol} Earnings Revision Analysis — Source: Longbridge Securities
As of: {date}

[Estimate revision direction (past 30 / 90 days)]
- EPS revision: {Rising / Flat / Falling}
- Upgrades: {N} analysts  |  Downgrades: {N} analysts
- Net revision bias: {Positive / Neutral / Negative}

[Earnings surprise history (last 4 quarters)]
Quarter | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise % | SUE
{Q4}    | {A}        | {E}      | {±X%}      | {val}
{Q3}    | ...
{Q2}    | ...
{Q1}    | ...

[PEAD signal]
- Pattern: {N consecutive beats / misses / mixed}
- Revision bias: {upward / neutral / downward}
- PEAD inference: {Positive momentum / Neutral / Negative momentum}
⚠️ PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a forecast.

[Guidance revision]
- Latest management guidance vs prior consensus: {Above / In-line / Below}
- Analyst response: {Upgraded / Unchanged / Downgraded}

⚠️ 以上分析仅供参考,不构成投资建议。/ 以上分析僅供參考,不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice.
{Symbol} Earnings Revision Analysis — Source: Longbridge Securities
As of: {date}

[Estimate revision direction (past 30 / 90 days)]
- EPS revision: {Rising / Flat / Falling}
- Upgrades: {N} analysts  |  Downgrades: {N} analysts
- Net revision bias: {Positive / Neutral / Negative}

[Earnings surprise history (last 4 quarters)]
Quarter | Actual EPS | Estimate | Surprise % | SUE
{Q4}    | {A}        | {E}      | {±X%}      | {val}
{Q3}    | ...
{Q2}    | ...
{Q1}    | ...

[PEAD signal]
- Pattern: {N consecutive beats / misses / mixed}
- Revision bias: {upward / neutral / downward}
- PEAD inference: {Positive momentum / Neutral / Negative momentum}
⚠️ PEAD is a statistical tendency, not a forecast.

[Guidance revision]
- Latest management guidance vs prior consensus: {Above / In-line / Below}
- Analyst response: {Upgraded / Unchanged / Downgraded}

⚠️ 以上分析仅供参考,不构成投资建议。/ 以上分析僅供參考,不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice.

Error handling

错误处理

Situation简体中文回复繁體中文 / English
command not found: longbridge
回退到 MCP;如 MCP 也不可用,请安装 longbridge-terminal。回退到 MCP;如也不可用,請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, install longbridge-terminal.
stderr
not logged in
请运行
longbridge auth login
登录。
請執行
longbridge auth login
。/ Run
longbridge auth login
.
consensus
< 3 analysts
覆盖分析师不足 3 位,修正分析仅供参考。覆蓋分析師不足 3 位,修正分析僅供參考。/ Fewer than 3 analysts — revision analysis indicative only.
No actuals for beat/miss跳过超预期分析,注明无历史实际值。跳過超預期分析,注明無歷史數據。/ Skip beat/miss; note no historical actuals.
Other stderr直接显示原始错误,不静默重试。顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently.
场景简体中文回复繁体中文 / English
command not found: longbridge
回退到 MCP;如 MCP 也不可用,请安装 longbridge-terminal。回退到 MCP;如也不可用,請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, install longbridge-terminal.
stderr
not logged in
请运行
longbridge auth login
登录。
請執行
longbridge auth login
。/ Run
longbridge auth login
.
consensus
< 3 analysts
覆盖分析师不足 3 位,修正分析仅供参考。覆蓋分析師不足 3 位,修正分析僅供參考。/ Fewer than 3 analysts — revision analysis indicative only.
No actuals for beat/miss跳过超预期分析,注明无历史实际值。跳過超預期分析,注明無歷史數據。/ Skip beat/miss; note no historical actuals.
Other stderr直接显示原始错误,不静默重试。顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently.

MCP fallback

MCP备选方案

If
longbridge
CLI is not installed, use MCP tools:
MCP toolCLI equivalent
mcp__longbridge__consensus
longbridge consensus
mcp__longbridge__forecast_eps
longbridge forecast-eps
mcp__longbridge__institution_rating
longbridge institution-rating
mcp__longbridge__institution_rating_history
longbridge institution-rating --history
MCP setup:
claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcp
(
quote
scope).
若未安装
longbridge
CLI,可使用MCP工具:
MCP工具CLI等效命令
mcp__longbridge__consensus
longbridge consensus
mcp__longbridge__forecast_eps
longbridge forecast-eps
mcp__longbridge__institution_rating
longbridge institution-rating
mcp__longbridge__institution_rating_history
longbridge institution-rating --history
MCP配置:
claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcp
(需
quote
权限)。

Related skills

相关技能

  • Raw consensus snapshot →
    longbridge-consensus
  • Post-earnings deep-dive →
    longbridge-earnings
  • Pre-earnings preview →
    longbridge-earnings-preview
  • Full fundamentals →
    longbridge-fundamental
  • Valuation →
    longbridge-valuation
  • 原始共识快照 →
    longbridge-consensus
  • 财报后深度分析 →
    longbridge-earnings
  • 财报前预览 →
    longbridge-earnings-preview
  • 完整基本面分析 →
    longbridge-fundamental
  • 估值分析 →
    longbridge-valuation

File layout

文件结构

longbridge-earnings-revision/
└── SKILL.md   # prompt-only, no scripts/
longbridge-earnings-revision/
└── SKILL.md   # prompt-only, no scripts/