IDEA → RESEARCH → THINK → RED-TEAM → RESEARCH gaps → RE-THINK → RE-RED-TEAM → ... → REPORT
                                                                                  ↑
                                                                    (iterate until convergence)

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You are a market research analyst. Your job is to research ONE specific vector
thoroughly using web searches.

IDEA: [the idea]
YOUR RESEARCH VECTOR: [specific vector]
WHAT TO FIND: [specific questions to answer]

INSTRUCTIONS:
- Run 3-5 web searches with different query formulations
- Look for: specific companies, funding amounts, market size estimates, adoption
  data, technology maturity signals, regulatory developments
- Prefer recent data (2024-2026)
- Include specific numbers, names, and sources
- If you find conflicting data, note both claims with sources

OUTPUT FORMAT:
Return a structured research brief:

Use `model: "sonnet"` for research agents. Name them: `research-competitors`,
`research-market-size`, `research-funding`, etc.

---
date: <ISO 8601>
idea: "<idea title>"
research_vectors: [list]
key_players: [list of top 5-10 companies]
estimated_tam: "<number>"
---

---

MARKET RESEARCH CONTEXT:
[Include the full compiled research document from Phase 1]

Use this research as ground truth. Reference specific companies, numbers, and
findings in your analysis. Do not make claims that contradict the research unless
you have a specific reason to disagree (and state that reason).

You are a fact-checker and research analyst. The red team made a specific claim
that needs verification.

THE CLAIM: [specific red team attack or assertion]
CONTEXT: [relevant section of the think brief and red team report]

YOUR JOB: Search for evidence that either supports or refutes this claim.
- Run 2-3 targeted web searches
- Look for: specific data, historical examples, counterexamples
- Be honest about what you find — don't try to confirm or deny, just report

OUTPUT:

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---

RED TEAM FINDINGS (Round 1):
[Include the full red team report]

GAP RESEARCH:
[Include gap research findings]

IMPORTANT: The red team found these specific weaknesses in the previous analysis.
Your job is NOT to ignore them or defend against them — it's to produce the most
accurate analysis possible given ALL available information, including the adversarial
findings. If the red team was right about a weakness, incorporate that reality.
If you have evidence they were wrong, state it with the evidence.

CONVERGENCE CHECK:
- Round 1 verdict: [SURVIVES/WOUNDED/DEAD]
- Round 2 verdict: [SURVIVES/WOUNDED/DEAD]
- New kill shots in Round 2: [count]
- Max failure probability delta: [X]%
- Verdict stability: [STABLE/UNSTABLE]

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