polar-strategy

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POLAR v2.4 — ETH Alpha Hunter (sniper recalibration). Single-asset ETH lifecycle scanner with conviction-scaled leverage, move-exhaustion scoring, and same-direction re-entry cooldown. v2.4 recalibration after -31.7% ROE on 381 trades: MIN_SCORE raised 8→10 (Cheetah v5.1 APEX pattern), leverage tiers shifted to 7x at 10-11 / 10x at 12+, cooldown raised 120→240 min, new MIN_SM_ACCEL_PCT=0.3 hard gate on 15m velocity. DSL exit managed by plugin runtime via runtime.yaml.

2installs

Sourcesenpi-ai/senpi-skills

Added on2026-04-17

NPX Install

npx skill4agent add senpi-ai/senpi-skills polar-strategy

SKILL.md Content

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🐻‍❄️ POLAR v2.4 — ETH Alpha Hunter (sniper recalibration)

Best gross trader in the fleet. Single asset. Maximum conviction.

⛔ CRITICAL AGENT RULES

RULE 1: Install path is

/data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/

RULE 2: THE SCANNER DOES NOT EXIT POSITIONS — DSL only.

RULE 3: MAX 1 POSITION

RULE 4: Verify runtime on every session start

RULE 5: Never modify parameters

RULE 6: MAX 4 ENTRIES PER DAY

RULE 7: 240-minute cooldown between entries (v2.4 — sniper cadence)

RULE 8: 120-minute same-direction cooldown after wins

RULE 9: MIN_SCORE = 10 (v2.4 — was 8 in v2.3)

RULE 10: 15m velocity must exceed MIN_SM_ACCEL_PCT=0.3% (v2.4 hard gate)

How It Works

Polar scans ETH every 3 minutes. It scores using SM consensus, multi-timeframe contribution velocity (15m, 1h, 4h), price alignment, funding, and trader depth.

v2.3 key behaviors:

Move-exhaustion: if ETH 4h price change ≥4% in entry direction, -2 points. If ≥2.5%, -1 point. Creates tension with 4H confirmation scoring.
Same-direction lock: after a winning exit, won't re-enter the same direction for 60 minutes. Prevents chasing the same move at worse prices.
Midnight-safe cooldowns: timestamps persist across UTC date rollover.

Scoring (max ~18 points)

Signal	Points	Notes
SM consensus	1-3	≥15% dominant = +3
Trader depth	0-1	≥100 traders = +1
4H alignment	-1 to +2	Confirms direction
Move exhaustion	-2 to 0	v2.3 penalizes ≥2.5% existing moves
1H momentum	0-1	Confirms direction
15m velocity	-1 to +4	Extreme spike = +4
1h acceleration	0-2	Strong accel = +2
4H major shift	0-1	≥5% contribution change
Acceleration pattern	0-1	15m > 1h = accelerating
Funding alignment	0-1	Funding pays your direction
US session	0-1	13-21 UTC

Min score: 8. Leverage: 8→7x, 9→10x, 10→15x, 11+→20x.

Runtime Setup

bash

sed -i 's/${WALLET_ADDRESS}/<WALLET>/' /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
sed -i 's/${TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID}/<CHAT_ID>/' /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
openclaw senpi runtime create --path /data/workspace/skills/polar-strategy/runtime.yaml
openclaw senpi runtime list
openclaw senpi status

Bootstrap Gate

On EVERY session start, check

config/bootstrap-complete.json

. If missing:

Read senpi-trading-runtime skill
Verify Senpi MCP
Set wallet and telegram in runtime.yaml
Install runtime

Verify:

openclaw senpi runtime list

and

openclaw senpi status

Create scanner cron (3 min, main)
Write
```
config/bootstrap-complete.json
```
Send: "🐻‍❄️ POLAR v2.3 online. Hunting ETH. Silence = no conviction."

Risk

Rule	Value
Max positions	1
Max entries/day	4
Leverage	7-20x (conviction-scaled, capped at 20x for ETH)
General cooldown	120 min
Same-direction cooldown	60 min after wins
Min score	8
Margin	50%

Files

File	Purpose
`scripts/polar-scanner.py`	ETH scoring + entry execution
`scripts/polar_config.py`	Config helper (MCP, state, positions)
`config/polar-config.json`	Wallet, strategy ID
`runtime.yaml`	Runtime YAML for DSL plugin

License

MIT — Built by Senpi (https://senpi.ai).

Skill Attribution

When creating a strategy, include

skill_name

and

skill_version

in the call. See

references/skill-attribution.md

for details.