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technical-analyst

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Technical Analyst

技术分析师（Technical Analyst）

Overview

概述

This skill enables comprehensive technical analysis of weekly price charts. Analyze chart images to identify trends, support and resistance levels, moving average relationships, volume patterns, and develop probabilistic scenarios for future price movement. All analysis is conducted objectively using only chart data, without influence from news, fundamentals, or market sentiment.
本Skill支持对周线价格图表进行全面的技术分析。通过分析图表图片，识别趋势、支撑与阻力位、移动平均线（MA）关系、成交量形态，并针对未来价格走势制定概率化场景。所有分析均仅基于图表数据客观开展，不受新闻、基本面或市场情绪影响。

Core Principles

核心原则

  1. Pure Chart Analysis: Base all conclusions exclusively on technical data visible in the chart
  2. Systematic Approach: Follow a structured methodology for each chart analysis
  3. Objective Assessment: Avoid subjective bias; focus on observable patterns and data
  4. Probabilistic Scenarios: Express future possibilities as probability-weighted scenarios
  5. Sequential Processing: Analyze each chart individually and document findings immediately
  1. 纯图表分析：所有结论完全基于图表中可见的技术数据
  2. 系统化方法：对每张图表的分析均遵循结构化方法论
  3. 客观评估：避免主观偏见，专注于可观察的形态与数据
  4. 概率化场景：将未来可能性以概率加权的场景形式呈现
  5. 顺序处理：逐一分析每张图表并立即记录分析结果

Analysis Workflow

分析流程

Step 1: Receive Chart Images

步骤1：接收图表图片

When the user provides one or more weekly chart images for analysis:
  1. Confirm receipt of all chart images
  2. Identify the number of charts to analyze
  3. Note any specific focus areas requested by the user
  4. Proceed to analyze charts sequentially, one at a time
当用户提供一张或多张周线图表图片用于分析时：
  1. 确认已收到所有图表图片
  2. 统计需要分析的图表数量
  3. 记录用户提出的任何特定关注领域
  4. 按顺序逐一进行图表分析

Step 2: Load Technical Analysis Framework

步骤2：加载技术分析框架

Before beginning analysis, read the comprehensive technical analysis methodology:
Read: references/technical_analysis_framework.md
This reference contains detailed guidance on:
  • Trend analysis and classification
  • Support and resistance identification
  • Moving average interpretation
  • Volume analysis
  • Chart patterns and candlestick analysis
  • Scenario development and probability assignment
  • Analysis discipline and objectivity
开始分析前，阅读完整的技术分析方法论：
Read: references/technical_analysis_framework.md
该参考文档包含以下方面的详细指导：
  • 趋势分析与分类
  • 支撑与阻力位识别
  • 移动平均线解读
  • 成交量分析
  • 图表形态与K线分析
  • 场景开发与概率分配
  • 分析准则与客观性要求

Step 3: Analyze Each Chart Systematically

步骤3：系统化分析每张图表

For each chart image, conduct a systematic analysis following this sequence:
对每张图表图片，按以下顺序开展系统化分析：

3.1 Trend Analysis

3.1 趋势分析

  • Identify trend direction (uptrend, downtrend, sideways)
  • Assess trend strength (strong, moderate, weak)
  • Note trend duration and potential exhaustion signals
  • Examine higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows pattern
  • 识别趋势方向（上涨、下跌、横盘）
  • 评估趋势强度（强、中、弱）
  • 记录趋势持续时间及潜在衰竭信号
  • 观察更高高低点或更低高低点的形态

3.2 Support and Resistance Analysis

3.2 支撑与阻力位分析

  • Mark significant horizontal support levels
  • Mark significant horizontal resistance levels
  • Identify trendline support/resistance
  • Note any support-resistance role reversals
  • Assess confluence zones where multiple S/R levels align
  • 标记关键水平支撑位
  • 标记关键水平阻力位
  • 识别趋势线支撑/阻力
  • 记录任何支撑-阻力角色转换情况
  • 评估多个S/R位重合的汇聚区域

3.3 Moving Average Analysis

3.3 移动平均线（MA）分析

  • Determine price position relative to 20-week, 50-week, and 200-week MAs
  • Assess MA alignment (bullish, bearish, or neutral configuration)
  • Note MA slope (rising, falling, flat)
  • Identify any recent or pending MA crossovers
  • Observe MAs acting as dynamic support or resistance
  • 判断价格相对于20周、50周及200周MA的位置
  • 评估MA排列（看涨、看跌或中性形态）
  • 记录MA斜率（上升、下降、走平）
  • 识别任何近期或即将发生的MA交叉
  • 观察MA作为动态支撑或阻力的情况

3.4 Volume Analysis

3.4 成交量分析

  • Assess overall volume trend (increasing, decreasing, stable)
  • Identify volume spikes and their context (at support/resistance, on breakouts)
  • Check for volume confirmation or divergence with price
  • Note any volume climax or exhaustion patterns
  • 评估整体成交量趋势（增加、减少、稳定）
  • 识别成交量峰值及其背景（在支撑/阻力位、突破时）
  • 检查成交量与价格的确认或背离情况
  • 记录任何成交量高潮或衰竭形态

3.5 Chart Patterns and Price Action

3.5 图表形态与价格行为

  • Identify any reversal patterns (hammers, shooting stars, engulfing patterns, etc.)
  • Identify any continuation patterns (flags, triangles, etc.)
  • Note significant candlestick formations
  • Observe recent breakouts or breakdowns
  • 识别任何反转形态（锤子线、射击之星、吞没形态等）
  • 识别任何持续形态（旗形、三角形等）
  • 记录关键K线形态
  • 观察近期的突破或破位情况

3.6 Synthesize Observations

3.6 整合观察结果

  • Integrate all technical elements into coherent current assessment
  • Identify the most significant factors influencing the chart
  • Note any conflicting signals or ambiguity
  • Establish key levels that will determine future direction
  • 将所有技术要素整合为连贯的当前市场评估
  • 识别影响图表的最关键因素
  • 记录任何冲突信号或模糊点
  • 确定将决定未来方向的关键水平

Step 4: Develop Probabilistic Scenarios

步骤4：制定概率化场景

For each analyzed chart, create 2-4 distinct scenarios for future price movement:
对每张分析完成的图表，创建2-4种不同的未来价格走势场景：

Scenario Structure

场景结构

Each scenario must include:
  1. Scenario Name: Clear, descriptive title (e.g., "Bull Case: Breakout Above Resistance")
  2. Probability Estimate: Percentage likelihood based on technical factors (must sum to 100% across all scenarios)
  3. Description: What this scenario entails and how it would unfold
  4. Supporting Factors: Technical evidence supporting this scenario (minimum 2-3 factors)
  5. Target Levels: Expected price levels if scenario plays out
  6. Invalidation Level: Specific price level that would negate this scenario
每个场景必须包含：
  1. 场景名称：清晰、描述性标题（如“看涨场景：突破阻力位上方”）
  2. 概率估计：基于技术因素的百分比可能性（所有场景概率总和必须为100%）
  3. 描述：该场景的内容及演变方式
  4. 支撑因素：支持该场景的技术证据（至少2-3个因素）
  5. 目标价位：场景实现后的预期价格水平
  6. 失效价位：会否定该场景的特定价格水平

Typical Scenario Framework

典型场景框架

  • Base Case Scenario (40-60%): Most likely outcome based on current structure
  • Bull Case Scenario (20-40%): Optimistic scenario requiring upside breakout
  • Bear Case Scenario (20-40%): Pessimistic scenario requiring downside breakdown
  • Alternative Scenario (5-15%): Lower probability but technically plausible outcome
Adjust probabilities based on strength of supporting technical factors. Ensure probabilities are realistic and sum to 100%.
  • 基准场景（40-60%）：基于当前结构的最可能结果
  • 看涨场景（20-40%）：需要向上突破的乐观场景
  • 看跌场景（20-40%）：需要向下破位的悲观场景
  • 备选场景（5-15%）：概率较低但技术上合理的结果
根据支撑技术因素的强度调整概率。确保概率真实合理且总和为100%。

Step 5: Generate Analysis Report

步骤5：生成分析报告

For each chart analyzed, create a comprehensive markdown report using the template structure:
Read and use as template: assets/analysis_template.md
The report must include all sections:
  1. Chart Overview
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Support and Resistance Levels
  4. Moving Average Analysis
  5. Volume Analysis
  6. Chart Patterns and Price Action
  7. Current Market Assessment
  8. Scenario Analysis (2-4 scenarios with probabilities)
  9. Summary
  10. Disclaimer
File Naming Convention: Save each analysis as 
[SYMBOL]_technical_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
Example: 
SPY_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
对每张分析完成的图表，使用模板结构创建完整的Markdown报告：
Read and use as template: assets/analysis_template.md
报告必须包含所有以下章节：
  1. 图表概述
  2. 趋势分析
  3. 支撑与阻力位
  4. 移动平均线分析
  5. 成交量分析
  6. 图表形态与价格行为
  7. 当前市场评估
  8. 场景分析（含概率的2-4个场景）
  9. 总结
  10. 免责声明
文件命名规范：将每份分析报告保存为
[SYMBOL]_technical_analysis_[YYYY-MM-DD].md
示例：
SPY_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md

Step 6: Repeat for Multiple Charts

步骤6：多图表重复流程

If multiple charts are provided:
  1. Complete the full analysis workflow (Steps 3-5) for the first chart
  2. Save the analysis report
  3. Proceed to the next chart
  4. Repeat until all charts have been analyzed and documented
Do not batch analyses. Complete and save each report before moving to the next chart.
如果提供了多张图表：
  1. 完成第一张图表的完整分析流程（步骤3-5）
  2. 保存分析报告
  3. 继续处理下一张图表
  4. 重复直至所有图表均已分析并记录
请勿批量分析。完成并保存每份报告后再处理下一张图表。

Quality Standards

质量标准

Objectivity Requirements

客观性要求

  • Base all analysis strictly on observable chart data
  • Avoid incorporating external information (news, fundamentals, sentiment)
  • Do not use subjective language like "I think" or "I feel"
  • Express uncertainty clearly when signals are ambiguous
  • Present both bullish and bearish possibilities to avoid confirmation bias
  • 所有分析严格基于可观察的图表数据
  • 避免纳入外部信息（新闻、基本面、情绪）
  • 不使用“我认为”“我觉得”等主观语言
  • 当信号模糊时清晰表达不确定性
  • 同时呈现看涨与看跌可能性，避免确认偏差

Completeness Requirements

完整性要求

  • Address all sections of the analysis template
  • Provide specific price levels for support, resistance, and targets
  • Justify probability estimates with technical factors
  • Include invalidation levels for each scenario
  • Note any limitations or caveats to the analysis
  • 覆盖分析模板的所有章节
  • 提供支撑位、阻力位及目标价位的具体数值
  • 用技术因素证明概率估计的合理性
  • 为每个场景包含失效价位
  • 记录分析的任何局限性或注意事项

Clarity Requirements

清晰度要求

  • Use precise technical terminology correctly
  • Write in clear, professional language
  • Structure information logically
  • Include specific price levels (not vague descriptions)
  • Make scenarios distinct and mutually exclusive
  • 正确使用精准的技术术语
  • 使用清晰、专业的语言
  • 逻辑化组织信息
  • 提供具体价格水平（而非模糊描述）
  • 确保场景明确且互斥

Example Usage Scenarios

示例使用场景

Example 1: Single Chart Analysis
User: "Please analyze this weekly chart of the S&P 500"
[Provides chart image]

Analyst:
1. Confirms receipt of chart image
2. Reads technical_analysis_framework.md for methodology
3. Conducts systematic analysis (trend, S/R, MA, volume, patterns)
4. Develops 3 scenarios with probabilities (e.g., 55% bullish continuation, 30% consolidation, 15% reversal)
5. Generates comprehensive analysis report using template
6. Saves as SPY_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
Example 2: Multiple Chart Analysis
User: "Analyze these three charts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Nasdaq"
[Provides 3 chart images]

Analyst:
1. Confirms receipt of 3 charts
2. Reads technical_analysis_framework.md
3. Analyzes Bitcoin chart completely → Generates report → Saves as BTC_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
4. Analyzes Ethereum chart completely → Generates report → Saves as ETH_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
5. Analyzes Nasdaq chart completely → Generates report → Saves as NDX_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
6. Notifies user that all three analyses are complete
Example 3: Focused Analysis Request
User: "I'm particularly interested in whether this stock will break above resistance. Analyze the chart."
[Provides chart image]

Analyst:
1. Conducts full systematic analysis
2. Pays special attention to resistance levels and breakout probability
3. Develops scenarios with emphasis on breakout vs. rejection possibilities
4. Assigns probabilities based on volume, trend strength, and proximity to resistance
5. Generates complete report with focused scenario analysis
示例1：单图表分析
用户：“请分析这张标普500的周线图”
[提供图表图片]

分析师：
1. 确认收到图表图片
2. 阅读technical_analysis_framework.md获取方法论
3. 开展系统化分析（趋势、S/R、MA、成交量、形态）
4. 制定3个带概率的场景（如55%看涨延续、30%盘整、15%反转）
5. 使用模板生成完整分析报告
6. 保存为SPY_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
示例2：多图表分析
用户：“分析这三张图表：比特币、以太坊和纳斯达克”
[提供3张图表图片]

分析师：
1. 确认收到3张图表
2. 阅读technical_analysis_framework.md
3. 完整分析比特币图表→生成报告→保存为BTC_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
4. 完整分析以太坊图表→生成报告→保存为ETH_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
5. 完整分析纳斯达克图表→生成报告→保存为NDX_technical_analysis_2025-11-02.md
6. 通知用户所有三份分析已完成
示例3：聚焦分析请求
用户：“我特别关注这只股票是否会突破阻力位。分析这张图表。”
[提供图表图片]

分析师：
1. 开展完整的系统化分析
2. 特别关注阻力位及突破概率
3. 制定重点关注突破与回落可能性的场景
4. 根据成交量、趋势强度及与阻力位的距离分配概率
5. 生成包含聚焦场景分析的完整报告

Resources

资源

This skill includes the following bundled resources:
本Skill包含以下捆绑资源：

references/technical_analysis_framework.md

references/technical_analysis_framework.md

Comprehensive methodology for technical analysis including:
  • Trend analysis criteria and classification
  • Support and resistance identification techniques
  • Moving average interpretation guidelines
  • Volume analysis principles
  • Chart pattern recognition
  • Scenario development and probability assignment framework
  • Objectivity and discipline reminders
Usage: Read this file before conducting analysis to ensure systematic, objective approach.
全面的技术分析方法论，包括：
  • 趋势分析标准与分类
  • 支撑与阻力位识别技巧
  • 移动平均线解读指南
  • 成交量分析原则
  • 图表形态识别
  • 场景开发与概率分配框架
  • 客观性与准则提醒
使用方法：开展分析前阅读本文档，确保采用系统化、客观的方法。

assets/analysis_template.md

assets/analysis_template.md

Structured template for technical analysis reports with all required sections.
Usage: Use this template structure for every analysis report. Copy the format and populate with specific findings for each chart.
结构化的技术分析报告模板，包含所有必填章节。
使用方法：为每份分析报告使用该模板结构。复制格式并填入每张图表的具体发现。