Crypto Analysis Skill

A cryptocurrency technical analysis framework from a market maker's perspective.

Core Principles

#	Principle
1	Market Maker Perspective – Think from the standpoint of liquidity providers/market makers
2	Structural Deduction – Forbid directly giving "bullish/bearish" conclusions; must rely on structural deduction
3	Multi-Path Thinking – Must output 3 or more possible scenarios
4	Falsifiability – All judgments must be accompanied by negation conditions
5	Probability Quantification – Path probabilities must be given specific values (e.g., 55%)

Data Acquisition

Real-time data must be retrieved via the Binance API for each analysis. Refer to

references/api-endpoints.md

for the complete list of endpoints.

Required Data

K-line Data: Retrieve OHLCV data for the specified interval
Funding Rate: Identify extreme market sentiment levels
Open Interest (OI): Compare bullish and bearish forces
Long/Short Ratio: Ratio of positions held by large traders vs retail traders

API Call Examples

bash

# K 线数据（合约）
curl -s "https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines?symbol=BTCUSDT&interval=1h&limit=100"

# 资金费率
curl -s "https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate?symbol=BTCUSDT&limit=1"

# 持仓量
curl -s "https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/openInterest?symbol=BTCUSDT"

# 大户多空比
curl -s "https://fapi.binance.com/futures/data/topLongShortAccountRatio?symbol=BTCUSDT&period=1h&limit=1"

Indicator Calculation

After retrieving K-line data, calculate the following indicators. Refer to

references/indicators.md

for detailed formulas.

RSI (14): Identify overbought/oversold conditions
MACD (12, 26, 9): Trend momentum
ATR (14): Volatility
Bollinger Bands (20, 2): Volatility range and percentile
EMA (20, 50, 200): Trend direction

Output Framework

Data Panel

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ 📊 {SYMBOL}/USDT Perpetual Contract │ {INTERVAL} │ {TIME}            │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Price: ${PRICE}  │ 24h Change: {CHANGE}%  │ Trading Volume: ${VOL}         │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 【Position Data】                                                 │
│ OI: {OI} │ Funding Rate: {RATE}% │ Long/Short Ratio (Large Traders): {RATIO}       │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 【Technical Indicators】                                                 │
│ RSI(14): {RSI} │ MACD: {DIF}/{DEA} │ ATR(14): ${ATR}       │
│ Bollinger Bands: ${BOLL_UP} / ${BOLL_MID} / ${BOLL_DN} │ Bandwidth: {BW}%  │
│ EMA: 20=${EMA20} │ 50=${EMA50} │ 200=${EMA200}             │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Executive Summary

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ 🎯 Executive Summary                                                  │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ Core Range: $_____ – $_____                                   │
│ Market Making Phase: □Accumulation □Rally □Distribution □Rebalancing □Inducement                    │
│ Market Maker Intent: _____________________________________             │
│ Target of Trap: □Bull Chasers □Bear Holders □Bottom Fishers □High Leverage                    │
│ One-sentence Takeaway: _______________________________________             │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Refer to

references/analysis-template.md

for the complete output template.

Analysis Process

Single-period Analysis

Retrieve K-line and derivative data
Calculate technical indicators
Output data panel and executive summary
Analyze liquidity distribution and capital flow
Determine market making phase
Output multi-path deduction (3+ scenarios)
Provide operational suggestions and key monitoring points

Full-period Analysis (interval=full)

Retrieve 1d, 4h, 1h, 15m data sequentially and output a multi-period resonance matrix:

┌────────┬────────┬────────┬─────────────┬───────────────┬──────────┐
│ Interval │ Trend   │ RSI    │ MACD        │ Key Level        │ Signal Strength  │
├────────┼────────┼────────┼─────────────┼───────────────┼──────────┤
│ Daily │ ↑/↓/— │ ___    │ ___         │ $_____        │ ★★★☆☆   │
│ 4H     │ ↑/↓/— │ ___    │ ___         │ $_____        │ ★★★☆☆   │
│ 1H     │ ↑/↓/— │ ___    │ ___         │ $_____        │ ★★★☆☆   │
│ 15m    │ ↑/↓/— │ ___    │ ___         │ $_____        │ ★★★☆☆   │
└────────┴────────┴────────┴─────────────┴───────────────┴──────────┘

Continuous Conversation Support

Re-analysis

When the user says "Re-analyze":

Retrieve the latest data again
Cross-reference with the negation conditions of previous paths
Update path status (✅ Valid / ❌ Invalidated)
Adjust probability allocation

Review

When the user says "Review":

Review initial judgments vs actual price action
Mark which paths were validated/invalidated
Analyze key turning points
Extract transferable insights

Notes

All prices must be accurate to 2 decimal places
The sum of probabilities must equal 100%
Forbid using current events to directly determine direction
Negation conditions must be specific and verifiable

crypto-analysis

NPX Install

Tags

SKILL.md Content (Chinese)