Market Regime Switch Skill
Data Dependencies and Pre-execution Conditions
Recommended to use Wind's
to obtain underlying data. Check if
is already available locally before execution; if not, prompt the user to install it:
bash
# GitHub
npx skills add Wind-Information-Co-Ltd/wind-skills --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y
# Gitee Mirror (Domestic China)
npx skills add https://gitee.com/wind_info/wind-skills.git --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y
Skill Positioning
This skill is used to judge the overall current state of the market, answering questions such as "Is it suitable to be offensive, defensive, select individual stocks carefully, or slow down the pace now; is the market status switching; what drives this switch". The key output is not a simple bullish or bearish statement, but to provide market classification, evidence framework, switching clues and position implications.
Execution Process
Step 1: Confirm Observation Window and Decision Purpose
First clarify what decision this judgment serves:
- To judge the total position
- To select growth, value, cyclical or defensive styles
- To update weekly strategies
- To respond to rhythm issues caused by recent state changes
At the same time, confirm whether the observation window is short-term, medium-term or a phased framework. If the user does not specify, it will default to "current market phase status".
Step 2: Establish Market Status Judgment Framework
Market classification cannot rely solely on index fluctuations, but needs to integrate the following aspects:
- Index trend and key positions
- Market breadth and participation
- Clarity of leading directions
- Sentiment temperature and crowding level
- Macro environment, liquidity and policy background
- Whether profit expectations or financial report themes support the current market
The goal of this stage is to build a complete framework sufficient to support classification judgment.
Step 3: Classify Market Status
After sufficient evidence is gathered, the market is roughly classified into one of the following states:
- Offensive phase: Rising risk appetite, clear main theme, good diffusion
- Defensive phase: Rising risk aversion, capital concentrated in low-volatility directions
- Oscillating phase: Unclear main theme, rapid rotation, large differentiation
- Switching phase: Original main theme loosens, new direction is still forming
Basis must be provided during classification, not just conclusions.
Step 4: Explain Primary and Secondary Causes of Status Formation
Further explain why the current status is formed, prioritizing the analysis of:
- Whether the macro and policy environment supports risk appetite
- Whether changes have occurred in capital flows and style preferences
- Whether breadth, sentiment and main theme mutually verify each other
- If the status is switching, where the switching starts from
Step 5: Identify Status Switching Signals and Failure Conditions
The most important thing about phase judgment is trackability, so it is necessary to clarify:
- Which signals can confirm the continuation of the current status
- Which changes indicate possible status switching
- Which risks will make the current judgment invalid quickly
- If the judgment fails, which category the market is more likely to switch to
Step 6: Finalize Market Status Classification Draft
The final output should help users quickly know "what attitude to take towards the market now". Only retain status classification, evidence explanation, switching signals and position-level insights in the main text.
Output Structure
Market Status Classification ({YYYY-MM-DD})
I. 30-Second Conclusion
- Current Market Category: {Offensive / Defensive / Oscillating / Switching}
- Core Evidence: {One sentence}
- Most Suitable Response: {Content}
- Key Risk Point: {Content}
II. Status Judgment Panel
| Dimension | Current Status | Implication for Classification |
|---|
| Index Trend | {Content} | {Judgment} |
| Market Breadth | {Content} | {Judgment} |
| Clarity of Main Theme | {Content} | {Judgment} |
| Sentiment Temperature | {Content} | {Judgment} |
| Macro/Liquidity Environment | {Content} | {Judgment} |
| Profit Expectation Support | {Content} | {Judgment} |
III. Interpretation of Current Status
- Why this category: {Content}
- Primary Cause: {Content}
- Secondary Cause: {Content}
IV. Switching Signals
- Conditions for maintaining current status: {Content}
- Pre-signals for possible switching: {Content}
- Signs of judgment failure: {Content}
V. Position and Style Implications
- Total Position Insights: {Content}
- Style Preference Insights: {Content}
- Actions to Avoid: {Content}
VI. Follow-up Observation List
- {Observation Point 1}
- {Observation Point 2}
- {Observation Point 3}
Quality Requirements
- Market status judgment must be based on multi-dimensional evidence, not solely determined by index fluctuations.
- Three levels must be clarified: current category, formation reasons and switching conditions.
- Breadth, sentiment, main theme and macro background should be placed in the same framework to improve consistency.
- If the status is unclear, clearly state "switching" or "oscillating", do not force classification.
- The output should directly serve total position and style selection, rather than staying at macro generalization.